Previsione della comunità attuale
Q2 (Apr 1st - Jul 1st) 100%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto21 dic 25, 22:28 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
100%
100%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any UK cabinet member leave cabinet this quarter?
Manifold MarketsBurnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026
Manifold MarketsHow many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
PolymarketHow many Prime ministers will the UK have before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRegole
Options resolve Yes if any UK cabinet minister resigns in the corresponding timeframe.
- Multiple options can resolve Yes if ministers resign in more than one timeframe.
- Any option covers the (plausible) event that none resign in 2026.
- If government dissolves this will be treated as a resignation.
- Full list of cabinet ministers available here:
- https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Q2 (Apr 1st - Jul 1st) al 100% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026??
- Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Options resolve Yes if any UK cabinet minister resigns in the corresponding timeframe.