Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 60%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto23 lug 26, 23:08 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
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SmarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between July 23, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, any member of the UK Cabinet under Prime Minister Andy Burnham formally resigns from their Cabinet post.
- Cabinet Minister Definition: Any individual officially listed as a member of the Cabinet of the United Kingdom on GOV.UK or widely reported by major media outlets (e.g., BBC, The Guardian, Financial Times) as holding a full Cabinet-level role in the Burnham administration.
- Resignation Definition: The minister must voluntarily step down from their Cabinet post (including resignations in protest, for personal reasons, or when requested/pressured to do so by the Prime Minister, provided a formal resignation is submitted and accepted).
- Being sacked, dismissed, or removed directly by the Prime Minister without resigning first.
- Being reassigned to a different Cabinet role during a reshuffle.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 60% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026?
- Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria