Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82%
Previsori
53
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto3 lug 23, 15:25 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
Trend
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
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KalshiRegole
I'll be using this list for qualifying conspiracy theories:
- https://www.teenvogue.com/story/most-popular-conspiracy-theories
- [link preview]I'll resolve this market YES if a consensus forms that any of these theories is broadly correct before the market resolution date.
- Otherwise I will resolve NO.
- A longstanding wikipedia article stating that one of these things is true would resolve YES, though I'm open to large polls of experts or other standards for defining consensus.
- I will not bet in this market.
