Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 57%
Previsori
36
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto24 nov 22, 22:48 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Tesla sell >$1B of humanoid robots by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegole
Clarification - humanoid robots.
- See similar market on Tesla: https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-tesla-sell-1b-of-humanoid-robo
- Nov 24, 2:54pm: Will any company sell >$1B of robots before 2030? → Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030?
- Update 2025-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
- The revenue threshold of >$1B is measured in 2023 dollars.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 541,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 536,7K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.8%
- Before March 202717.3%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.4%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 57% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030??
- Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Clarification - humanoid robots.