Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 55.2%
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2
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto5 ago 26, 15:00 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2027
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KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC, Anthropic officially releases or deploys an in-house, custom-designed silicon chip (developed by Anthropic's internal silicon/hardware team) to train or run its Claude AI models.
- "Release or deploy" is defined as any of the following:
- Anthropic publicly announces that it is actively using its proprietary, custom-designed chips for training or running Claude in production.
- Anthropic or its manufacturing partner officially announces the successful tape-out, shipping, or deployment of the custom silicon designed by Anthropic's in-house team.
- Exceptions & Clarifications:
Mercati aperti
AI
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- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
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- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
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- December 15,86%
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2028?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 55% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2028?
- Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2028 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2028?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria