Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (99%)
Risolto: 11 ott 2026, 22:46
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 12 ott 2026, 12:02 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes1%
No99%
Vinta
Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
LimitlessWhat will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketWill any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Claude Fable be able to autonomously make a watchable movie?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES if Anthropic officially releases a new Claude Fable model (newer than Fable 5.1) before October 12, 2026.
- The model must be available to general users through an official channel (Claude apps, API, or cloud partners).
- Releases limited to selected partners or testers do not count.
- Any version number counts (5.2, 5.5, 6, etc.).
- Rumors, leaks, and hidden-routing reports do not count.
