Will another country pass an age restriction on social media by the end of 2026?
PoliticaOne-OffLatin America3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 86.3%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto14 gen 26, 04:17 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
[ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiWhich Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAustralia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiWill the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
FutuurRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if at least one country (other than Australia) passes legislation establishing a minimum age restriction on social media by December 31, 2026.
- The restriction must be formally enacted into law, not merely proposed or announced.
- Denmark announced an agreement to ban access to social media for anyone under 15 in November 2025, and France's minister of digital affairs stated her department wants to introduce a bill to restrict social media for those under 15 in the first months of 2026.
- Resolution will be based on official government sources confirming passage of legislation.
- The market resolves NO if no additional countries pass such legislation by the deadline.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will another country pass an age restriction on social media by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 86% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will another country pass an age restriction on social media by the end of 2026??
- Will another country pass an age restriction on social media by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will another country pass an age restriction on social media by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria