Will an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION]

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION]?

Manifold Markets quota No al 61.3% al 27 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION]?

Will an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION] dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.

Come viene liquidato Will an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION]?

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I don't mean "achieves SOTA on one benchmark", or "is the best FOSS model", I mean "is the equivalent of what GPT-4 is right now".

Usa questo mercato nel codice o in un agente IA

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+9.2pt95.9%
• Anthropic-6.5pt4.1%
• Alibaba+0.1pt0%

+18 altri esiti

Volume totale

3,4 Mln €

Volume 24h

169,2K €

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+3.0pt56%
• Google-1.5pt35%
• OpenAI+0.1pt6%

+12 altri esiti

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt95%
• Before Feb 1, 2027-3.0pt

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.6pt59.6%
• Gemini-2.3pt30.1%
• ChatGPT+0.2pt

POLYMARKET

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?

• December 31-7.0pt81%
• December 15-12.5pt74%
• November 30+4.0pt61%

+5 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-2.0pt29.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.5pt23.5%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.8pt15.7%

+7 altri esiti

• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Best AI this week
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
• Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?