Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No AI-generated movie will hit the Top 10 in 2026 93.2%In testa tra 4 esiti
No AI-generated movie will hit the Top 10 in 2026 93.2%Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mag 26, 06:29 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
KalshiWill an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release a high-quality AI generated movie by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill I (robm) agree with the resolution to the 2028 AI generated movie market?
Manifold MarketsIn which year will an AI-generated movie become the first major box office success?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official "Top 10" lists published by Netflix at top10.netflix.com.
- A movie will be considered "AI-generated" if it is primarily marketed as such or if reputable industry reporting (e.g., Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, Deadline) confirms that the film's core visuals, script, or animation were produced predominantly by generative AI tools.
- Yes, in Q1 2026: Resolves to this option if such a film reaches the Top 10 between January 1, 2026, and March 31, 2026.
- the named outcome: Resolves to this option if such a film reaches the Top 10 between April 1, 2026, and June 30, 2026.
- the named outcome: Resolves to this option if such a film reaches the Top 10 between July 1, 2026, and September 30, 2026.
