Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030??

Manifold Markets quota No al 68.2% al 27 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030??

Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.

Come viene liquidato Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if, before 1 January 2030, a paper published in Nature or Science lists an AI system (not a person) as first or lead author, or the journal's editorial note describes the AI as the paper's primary author.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.5pt94%
• December 15,+10.5pt93%
• November 30,+28.0pt89%

+15 altri esiti

Volume totale

5,2 Mln €

Volume 24h

317,3K €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+14.0pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+19.0pt99.5%
• America First+61.0pt99.5%
• American Dream+65.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T28.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.4pt21.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.6pt16.2%

+7 altri esiti

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.2pt59.6%
• Gemini-0.6pt30.1%
• ChatGPT-0.1pt

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-7.5pt48%
• 2026-1.2pt13%

+1 altri esiti

Volume totale

968,7K €

Volume 24h

68K €

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