Will Amazon fully acquire, acqui‑hire, or own ≥ 50 % of Anthropic before 2029
RegolamentazioneOne-OffIATecnologiaOperazioni societarie2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 90.3%
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto10 giu 25, 22:57 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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YES CRITERIA
- Acquisition – Amazon (or a wholly owned subsidiary) completes a purchase giving it >50 % of Anthropic voting equity.
- Acqui‑hire – A mainstream business/tech news outlet explicitly describes Amazon’s action as an “acqui‑hire” of Anthropic.
- Majority‑stake investment – Amazon raises its fully‑diluted voting stake to ≥50 %.
- The date that the ≥50 % threshold is first crossed determines timing.
- Multiple transactions may add up.
