Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will air quality in Los Angeles improve by 2037??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 87.4% al 24 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will air quality in Los Angeles improve by 2037??

Will air quality in Los Angeles improve by 2037? dovrebbe risolversi il 17 giugno 2037.

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Sì 87.4%

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Aggiornato 11 ore fa

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18 giu 22, 00:35 UTC17 giu 37, 19:00 UTC

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Air quality in Los Angeles is in the yellow range on the Air Quality Index (AQI) according to PurpleAir.com as of June 2022 (reference 1).

From reference 1, it seems to have the lowest air quality in California.
In 2020, Gavin Newsom "issued an executive order requiring sales of all new passenger vehicles to be zero-emission by 2035" (reference 2).
This question will resolve to YES if the Los Angeles AQI reduces from yellow (AQI of 51-100) to green (AQI of 0-50) by June 17, 2037, at noon Pacific Time.
The question is purely about the AQI, not whether Gavin Newsom's executive order caused the decrease since that is too hard to determine.
References: 1. 1-week average for Los Angeles from PurpleAir.com based on the US EPA PM2.5 AQI standard where yellow is AQI of 51-100 (https://map.purpleair.com/1/mAQI/a10080/p604800/cC0?select=96243#9/33.9734/-118.1833) 2. https://www.gov.ca.gov/2020/09/23/governor-newsom-announces-california-will-phase-out-gasoline-powered-cars-drastically-reduce-demand-for-fossil-fuel-in-californias-fight-against-climate-change/