Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 88.6%
Previsori
210
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto26 feb 23, 06:16 UTC31 dic 60, 12:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI wipe out "humanity" before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegole
This Market will resolve to no if any humans are still alive at the end of 2060.
- Otherwise, the ai will resolve it to yes.
- Creating this market as I am interested in the timeline as well as the outcome and we already have the same event on a 2100 timeline.
- Link to 2100 market: https://manifold.markets/JamesDillard/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th?r=SmFtZXNCaWxscw