Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.2%
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14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto31 ott 25, 11:55 UTC31 ott 26, 22:59 UTC
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Regole
At the time of posting, litigation, led by Comcast and its subsidiaries, was underway against all of the leading AI music generation firms.
- On October 30, 2025, one of the firms, Udio, "settled" with the plaintiffs, and the terms of the settlement resulted in the effective closure of their service.
- Suno, another firm, is facing the same claims and engaged in largely the same behavior, but is defending itself with a different argument - that the labels have unclean hands because they engaged in an anticompetitive scheme to suppress AI generation for their own benefit, and is using discovery to try to prove that argument.
- If they cannot find evidence of this alleged scheme, they may shortly "settle" as well.
- This market will resolve to YES if, on Halloween 2026, it is not possible to generate music of the same quality for the same or lower price as it was on October 30, 2025 before Udio closed, download it in a lossless format, and possess full ownership and distribution rights.
- The "price" might be a subscription fee, or per-track.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026??
- Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: At the time of posting, litigation, led by Comcast and its subsidiaries, was underway against all of the leading AI music generation firms.