Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USA2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 96.8%
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27
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 35 minuti fa
5 lug 25, 21:36 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?
KalshiWill the Democrats hold 53 or more Senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats hold 54 or more Senate Seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats hold 56 or more senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032
Manifold MarketsWill any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if a candidate who is neither a Democrat or a Republican, and is supported by Elon Musk, is elected to the US Senate or House of Representatives by the end of 2026.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
