Will the Democrats hold 56 or more senate seats in the next Congress?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 90%
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto22 ott 26, 02:54 UTC2 feb 27, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party holds 56 or more seats in the senate of the United States Congress on February 1, 2027.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Source of truth: The official composition (identity and partisan membership) published by the United States Congress (accessible via Congress.gov or official chamber directories at Senate.gov) as of February 1, 2027.
- Caucusing members: In accordance with standard Congressional counting conventions, independent members who officially caucus with the Democratic Party (e.g., independent senators who organize with the Democratic caucus) are counted toward the Democratic seat total.
- Timing & revisions: Partisan composition will be measured as of February 1, 2027.
- Any vacancies, special elections, or party switches occurring or officially recorded after February 1, 2027, will not be factored into resolution.
