KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 1 20%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualità del mercato
38 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
6,4K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
14 lug 26, 19:30 UTC1 feb 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
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KalshiRegole
If Elon Musk supports the named outcome non-incumbents who win Congressional seats in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Election CommissionUnited States House of RepresentativesUnited States SenateNew York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforEnergy Information AdministrationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCElon Musk’s X accountofficial campaign websites of candidatesBallotpedia
- Special elections between Jul 14, 2026 and election day 2026 are also included in this number.
- Special elections between Jun 4, 2025 and election day 2026 are also included in this number.
Mercati aperti
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026??
- Kalshi quota At least 1 al 20% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026??
- How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Elon Musk supports the named outcome non-incumbents who win Congressional seats in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.