Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Democrats hold 54 or more Senate Seats in the next Congress??

Manifold Markets quota No al 74.9% al 30 ottobre 2026.

Will the Democrats hold 54 or more Senate Seats in the next Congress?

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 74.9%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 7 ore fa

Obsoleto

22 ott 26, 02:50 UTC2 feb 27, 00:00 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party holds 54 or more seats in the senate of the United States Congress on February 1, 2027.

Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
Source of truth: The official composition (identity and partisan membership) published by the United States Congress (accessible via Congress.gov or official chamber directories at Senate.gov) as of February 1, 2027.
Caucusing members: In accordance with standard Congressional counting conventions, independent members who officially caucus with the Democratic Party (e.g., independent senators who organize with the Democratic caucus) are counted toward the Democratic seat total.
Timing & revisions: Partisan composition will be measured as of February 1, 2027.
Any vacancies, special elections, or party switches occurring or officially recorded after February 1, 2027, will not be factored into resolution.