Previsione della comunità attuale
No 95.9%
Previsori
76
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 39 minuti fa
17 ott 23, 12:37 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?
Manifold MarketsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
KalshiWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegole
Resolves YES if a human lands on the moon after 2022 and before 2028, otherwise NO.
- (The human must be alive to count.)
Mercati aperti
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a human land on the moon before 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a human land on the moon before 2028??
- Will a human land on the moon before 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will a human land on the moon before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if a human lands on the moon after 2022 and before 2028, otherwise NO.