Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a Google Play alternative make at least 1b in annual revenue in 2026??

Manifold Markets quota No al 91.6% al 27 ottobre 2026.

Will a Google Play alternative make at least 1b in annual revenue in 2026?

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 91.6%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 ore fa

Obsoleto

8 ott 24, 23:57 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

The Google / Epic lawsuit seems to be opening up the Android ecosystem to third party app stores.

Resolves YES if there is credible evidence that there is an Android app store other than Google Play that makes at least 1 billion in revenue from Android devices during 2026.
Stores locked to a single manufacturer (like Samsung galaxy store) are excluded from this market, since they aren’t targeting the Android ecosystem as a whole.
I won’t trade on this market