Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?
RegolamentazioneOne-OffIAEuropaTecnologiaScacchiSport2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 05:41 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
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Aggiornato 59 minuti fa
In ritardo16 lug 26, 01:51 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
Market title abbreviated for character limit; the full operative title and all binding definitions are in this description.
- Audit Motion 002
- Will at least one frontier AI company publish recurring organizational governance metrics alongside capability benchmarks, in a single document, on or before 31 December 2026?
- Research Thesis
- This prediction tests whether frontier AI governance will evolve from policy disclosure toward performance disclosure.
- Frontier AI companies now routinely publish governance frameworks, responsible scaling policies, and regulatory compliance documents.
