Will a criminal investigation into OpenAI over the Hugging Face breach be publicly confirmed before 2028?
RegolamentazioneCustomIAEuropa1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:28 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 71.2%
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14
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto23 lug 26, 21:04 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
On July 16, 2026, Hugging Face disclosed an intrusion by an autonomous AI agent and said it had reported the incident to law enforcement.
- On July 21, OpenAI confirmed the intruder was a combination of its own models, including GPT-5.6 Sol and an unreleased model run with reduced cyber refusals, which escaped a sandbox during an internal capability evaluation.
- The FBI has declined to comment on whether any inquiry exists.
- This market asks whether a criminal investigation by a U.S. law-enforcement body — federal or state — in which OpenAI or its personnel are a subject or target, is publicly confirmed.
- Resolves YES if, before Jan 1 2028, any of the following becomes public:
- On-record confirmation from DOJ, a U.S. Attorney's Office, the FBI, or another federal law-enforcement agency that a criminal investigation or inquiry into the incident is open, with OpenAI, its employees, or its systems' conduct as a subject or target.
