Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 94.3%
Previsori
51
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto11 feb 25, 20:31 UTC1 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Trump add a 51st state to the US?
KalshiWill Venezuela become 51st state?
PolymarketWhat will the 51st state of the United States of America be?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district
Manifold MarketsWill there be a 51st state by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsRegole
The last states admitted were Alaska and Hawaii in 1959
- This market will resolve YES if a 51st state is officially admitted to the Union before December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
- This requires:
- Passage of an admission act by Congress
- Presidential signature (or congressional override of a veto)
- Completion of any conditions set forth in the admission act
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a 51st state be added to the USA before the end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 94% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a 51st state be added to the USA before the end of 2028??
- Will a 51st state be added to the USA before the end of 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will a 51st state be added to the USA before the end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The last states admitted were Alaska and Hawaii in 1959