Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualePuerto Rico 49.3%In testa tra 13 esiti
Previsori
38
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto2 mag 24, 19:46 UTC1 gen 41, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?
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Manifold MarketsWill any state in the United States be carbon neutral before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Venezuela become 51st state?
PolymarketRegole
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/51st_state
- Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If multiple new states are added simultaneously: The market will resolve 50/50 between those states.
- Naming: This market resolves based on the colloquial area name, not the official state name.
- For example, if DC becomes a state with the official name "The State of Columbia", it would still resolve to the "the named outcome" answer option.