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Dati al 25 ott 2026, 17:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeStorm Of Steel 19.5%In testa tra 53 esiti
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+14.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto4 giu 26, 05:25 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will "Power Lies Trembling: a three-book review" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Alexander write a book review of Finnegans Wake?
Manifold MarketsWill Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKim Kardashian announces passing the Bar Exam by 2027?
Polymarket60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
KalshiRegole
Resolves to whoever gets whoever scott declares as winner of the 2026 ACX Book contest.
- If your favorite book review isn't here, you can add it.