Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBreakdown in Pakistan: How Aid Is Eroding Institutions for Collective Action 11.5%In testa tra 53 esiti
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto4 giu 26, 05:25 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026?
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KalshiRegole
Resolves to whoever gets whoever scott declares as winner of the 2026 ACX Book contest.
- If your favorite book review isn't here, you can add it.
Mercati aperti
Society & Culture
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,8K €
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane95%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Tariff86%
+13 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume totale
- 18,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 989,4 €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 15,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 952,4 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Volume totale
- 136,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 247 €
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
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- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest??
- Manifold Markets quota Breakdown in Pakistan: How Aid Is Eroding Institutions for Collective Action al 12% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest??
- Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to whoever gets whoever scott declares as winner of the 2026 ACX Book contest.