Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocrats 60.3%In testa tra 14 esiti
Previsori
40
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto12 giu 25, 12:47 UTC6 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party of the candidate who wins the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The winning party will be determined based on the candidate who secures the majority of electoral votes as reported by reputable sources such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets like The New York Times and CNN.
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election will determine the nation's leadership for the subsequent four years.
- As of June 2025, several potential candidates from both major parties are being discussed:
- Republican Party: Vice President JD Vance is considered a frontrunner, with a 25% chance of winning the 2028 presidential race, according to SportsBettingDime.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election? · Democratic Party 61%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 57%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? · Democratic 58%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) · Democratic party 59%
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-8.0pt69.3%
- Yes+8.0pt30.7%
- Volume totale
- 14,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 831,2K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 187,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 495,4K €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Bibi / Netanyahu+83.0pt99%
- Ukraine+44.0pt99%
- Kamala99%
+31 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 864,2K €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+17.0pt61%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+16.0pt60%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+15.0pt48%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt13%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.2pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt35.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.6%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.2%
+38 altri esiti
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Presidential Election Winner 2028
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- Manifold Markets quota Democrats al 60% al 14 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? dovrebbe risolversi il 6 novembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria
- Dove altro è quotato Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su ForecastEx, Limitless, Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, PredictIt, Kalshi.