Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocrats 63.8%In testa tra 14 esiti
Previsori
40
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-0.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto12 giu 25, 12:47 UTC6 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party of the candidate who wins the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The winning party will be determined based on the candidate who secures the majority of electoral votes as reported by reputable sources such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets like The New York Times and CNN.
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election will determine the nation's leadership for the subsequent four years.
- As of June 2025, several potential candidates from both major parties are being discussed:
- Republican Party: Vice President JD Vance is considered a frontrunner, with a 25% chance of winning the 2028 presidential race, according to SportsBettingDime.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 66%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 62%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
