Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 19:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 65.9%
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19
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto20 ott 24, 11:02 UTC21 gen 29, 21:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessRegole
Will resolve based off of Wikipedia determination of election winner, if unclear due to electoral college tie or lack of electoral college majority it will resolve based on whoever is inaugurated after the 2028 presidential election
- In the rare likelihood that the 2028 is not a clear "democrats vs republicans" eg. the GOP splits into a trump faction and non trump faction, I'll resolve according to the endorsement of the previous president (meaning if trump wins in 2024 and backs some outside candidate in the 2028 general election that doesn't carry the GOP tag, for this to resolve to yes the trump backed outsider would need to win)
