Who will launch the first crewed space station with functioning artificial gravity (via rotation)?
Russia / UcrainaOne-OffTecnologiaSpazio13a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No artificial-gravity station launched by resolution date 28.3%In testa tra 6 esiti
No artificial-gravity station launched by resolution date 28.3%Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
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Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto19 lug 26, 17:15 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves when the first crewed orbital space station or station module that generates artificial gravity through continuous rotation becomes operational, with a crew aboard experiencing sustained partial or full gravity produced by that rotation.
- Eligible systems include rotating habitats, wheel stations, torus stations, or centrifuge modules large enough to support normal crew habitation for extended stays.
- The rotation must be the primary means of generating gravity for at least part of the habitable volume.
- The market resolves to the country or region of the organization primarily responsible for developing and operating the station or module.
- If responsibility is genuinely shared between organizations from multiple listed options, the market resolves to "Other".
- Does not count
