Who will launch the first crewed space station with functioning artificial gravity (via rotation)?

Russia / UkraineOne-OffTecnologia Space13a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti

Dati al 21 lug 2026, 18:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2

Previsione della comunità attuale

US Company and/or NASA 16.1%-1.8%

In testa tra 6 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 giorni fa

Obsoleto

19 lug 26, 17:1531 dic 39, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

US Company and/or NASA16%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

This market resolves when the first crewed orbital space station or station module that generates artificial gravity through continuous rotation becomes operational, with a crew aboard experiencing sustained partial or full gravity produced by that rotation.

Eligible systems include rotating habitats, wheel stations, torus stations, or centrifuge modules large enough to support normal crew habitation for extended stays.
The rotation must be the primary means of generating gravity for at least part of the habitable volume.
The market resolves to the country or region of the organization primarily responsible for developing and operating the station or module.
If responsibility is genuinely shared between organizations from multiple listed options, the market resolves to "Other".
Does not count

Trend del volume

$25

19 lug3g di dati21 lug

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Year of Elon Musk's next visit to Russia

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Regole

Eligible systems include rotating habitats, wheel stations, torus stations, or centrifuge modules large enough to support normal crew habitation for extended stays.
The rotation must be the primary means of generating gravity for at least part of the habitable volume.
The market resolves to the country or region of the organization primarily responsible for developing and operating the station or module.
If responsibility is genuinely shared between organizations from multiple listed options, the market resolves to "Other".
Does not count

Who will launch the first crewed space station with functioning artificial gravity (via rotation)?

Russia / UkraineOne-OffTecnologia Space13a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti

Dati al 21 lug 2026, 18:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2

Previsione della comunità attuale

US Company and/or NASA 16.1%-1.8%

In testa tra 6 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 giorni fa

Obsoleto

19 lug 26, 17:1531 dic 39, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

US Company and/or NASA16%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

Eligible systems include rotating habitats, wheel stations, torus stations, or centrifuge modules large enough to support normal crew habitation for extended stays.
The rotation must be the primary means of generating gravity for at least part of the habitable volume.
The market resolves to the country or region of the organization primarily responsible for developing and operating the station or module.
If responsibility is genuinely shared between organizations from multiple listed options, the market resolves to "Other".
Does not count

Trend del volume

$25

19 lug3g di dati21 lug

Mercati Correlati

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135,7 €

2025: 0%

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POLYMARKET

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POLYMARKET

What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?

795,9 €

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KALSHI

Which months of 2026 will there be a Starship–Superheavy launch?

668,1 €

January: 0%

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,543.98+0.82%

EthereumETH$1,887.17+1.63%

SolanaSOL$75.20+1.73%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0734+5.61%

BNBBNB$571.22+1.03%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.99%

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Regole

Eligible systems include rotating habitats, wheel stations, torus stations, or centrifuge modules large enough to support normal crew habitation for extended stays.
The rotation must be the primary means of generating gravity for at least part of the habitable volume.
The market resolves to the country or region of the organization primarily responsible for developing and operating the station or module.
If responsibility is genuinely shared between organizations from multiple listed options, the market resolves to "Other".
Does not count