Previsione della comunità attuale
Marco Rubio 42.2%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto2 mar 26, 06:40 UTC2 mar 29, 10:59 UTC
Trend
0.5%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
JD Vance out as VP by which date?
PolymarketJD Vance out as VP before?
Manifold MarketsJD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
KalshiRegole
Resolves based on who JD Vance announces as his vice president (if he assumes presidency) OR if he announces a vice president as a candidate for president.
- Resolves no vice president announcement made if he never announces a vice president before 20 Jan 2029.
- Resolves based on first announcement of a vp pick.
- Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to the announced VP even if JD Vance announces a VP during the primary but does not win the nomination.
- Example: Ted Cruz announced Carly Fiorina as his VP in 2016 as a candidate before winning the primary.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will JD Vance announce as his VP??
- Manifold Markets quota Marco Rubio al 42% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will JD Vance announce as his VP??
- Who will JD Vance announce as his VP? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 marzo 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Who will JD Vance announce as his VP??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves based on who JD Vance announces as his vice president (if he assumes presidency) OR if he announces a vice president as a candidate for president.