Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJan 2027 8.2%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto28 mag 26, 00:34 UTC2 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will JD Vance announce as his VP?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketWhen will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance and Usha Vance announce a divorce by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date on which JD Vance ceases to be the Vice President of the United States.
- Sworn in as President: If JD Vance becomes the President of the United States (e.g., due to the death, resignation, or removal of the President), he ceases to be Vice President.
- In this scenario, the market will resolve to the date he is sworn in as President.
- Resignation, Removal, or Death: If JD Vance resigns, is removed from office, is declared permanently disabled under the 25th Amendment, or passes away, the market will resolve to the date that the vacancy officially begins.
- Time Zone: Resolution will use the official calendar date in Eastern Time (ET) when the vacancy or transition takes effect.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — JD Vance out as VP by...? · December 31 6%
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per JD Vance out as VP before??
- Manifold Markets quota Jan 2027 al 8% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve JD Vance out as VP before??
- JD Vance out as VP before? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato JD Vance out as VP before??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria
- Dove altro è quotato JD Vance out as VP before??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.