Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocrats 56%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
74
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+6.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto7 gen 26, 16:24 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
Manifold MarketsWhich party will control the Senate after the midterm elections?
SmarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on which party controls the U.S. Senate following elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, when 35 of the 100 Senate seats will be contested.
- Control is determined by which party holds a majority of seats (51 or more).
- The Senate currently has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats).
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two seats to retain control.
- Resolution will be based on official election results certified by state authorities and reported by major news outlets (AP, Reuters, etc.).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 193,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 710,8K €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 584,6K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume totale
- 29,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 407,5K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets quota Democrats al 56% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms??
- Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria
- Dove altro è quotato Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su PredictIt.