Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 18 lug 2026, 00:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Previsione della comunità attualeRepublicans 55%+2.1ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
62
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 giorni fa
Obsoleto7 gen 26, 16:2431 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Democrats45%
Confronta le piattaforme· Republicans
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 55% | — | — | — | 10 giorni fa | |
 PredictIt84% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 61% | — | — | — | 18 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su PredictIt
Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 election?
6m
61%
39%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on which party controls the U.S.
- Senate following elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, when 35 of the 100 Senate seats will be contested.
- Control is determined by which party holds a majority of seats (51 or more).
- The Senate currently has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats).
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two seats to retain control.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$2110 lug5g di dati18 lug
Mercati Correlati
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
926,6K €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
654,1K €James Fishback: 3%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
471K €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
425,5K €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ohio Governor winner?
347,3K €Vivek Ramaswamy: 51%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
200,6K €At least 1%: 97%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on which party controls the U.S.
- Senate following elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, when 35 of the 100 Senate seats will be contested.
- Control is determined by which party holds a majority of seats (51 or more).
- The Senate currently has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats).
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two seats to retain control.