Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Fabiano Caruana 14.5%In testa tra 13 esiti
Fabiano Caruana 14.5%Previsori
61
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto2 gen 24, 23:36 UTC1 gen 40, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Magnus Carlsen has been the number 1 ranked player by classical chess FIDE rating since July 2011.
- This question resolves to the first person who is not Magnus Carlsen to be rated number 1 on a FIDE monthly rating list.
- In case of unforseen circumstances (e.g. the creation of a competitor organization to FIDE), I will use a rating list that best includes all top players and all classical games.
- If you decide to add additional answers, please add only realistic people; I'll resolve troll answers to N/A. I will not bet in this market.
- Update 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If Magnus Carlsen doesn't play any classical chess for 12 consecutive calendar months, he will be removed from the FIDE rating lists, and the market will be resolved to the top player on the list at that time.