Previsione della comunità attuale
Taylor Swift 100%In testa tra 75 esiti
Previsori
131
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo10 ott 23, 04:59 UTC1 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will become President through 2033? [Unlinked Free Response - Correct Options Resolve Early]
Manifold MarketsWho will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
Manifold Markets[unlinked free response] How can Israel stop Hamas from controlling Gaza before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [FREE RESPONSE]
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketRegole
New market type! All options are unlinked from other options, and will resolve either 0% or 100%.
- Options can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open until the end of 2028.
- Any submitted name that is made Time's Person of The Year in any year through 2028 will resolve Yes.
- Any abstract concept/group that I judge to be synonymous with an abstract concept/group that is named Person of the Year will also resolve Yes.
- Feel free to submit answers that are duplicates or close synonyms to existing answers, I'll resolve all correct options to the full 100%.
- Also, note that TIME has traditionally named the US president elect as the POTY in election years.