Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeVeritasium 83.2%In testa tra 7 esiti
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11
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 23 ore fa
Obsoleto3 gen 26, 01:03 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in October 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Manifold MarketsU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
PolymarketWill the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
FutuurWhat grade will Anthropic get for existential safety in the FLI's AI Safety Index Winter 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Which YouTube channels will post their first video that primarily focuses on AI Safety in 2026.
- The video must be primarily about AI Safety, Control, Alignment, Governance and associated existential/societal scale risks.
- I would include Gradual Disempowerment-style risks, AI-enabled coups, extreme power concentration and value lock in etc as long as they are clearly recognisable as such.
- It must be a full length video, not a short/promo.
- If it wouldn't feel out of place in major AIS channels/podcasts/forums/venue/training program syllabus then it counts (e.g. Rational Animations, Rob Miles, 80k, LW/EA/AlignmentForum, BlueDot, MATS etc..).
- Links, references and calls to action to relevant AI Safety orgs aren't strictly necessarily but would be a strong signal.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume totale
- 241,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 128K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 349,4K €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which YouTube channels will post an AI Safety/Alignment video in 2026?
- Manifold Markets quota Veritasium al 83% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which YouTube channels will post an AI Safety/Alignment video in 2026?
- Which YouTube channels will post an AI Safety/Alignment video in 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which YouTube channels will post an AI Safety/Alignment video in 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Which YouTube channels will post their first video that primarily focuses on AI Safety in 2026.