Which will be the first year the USA has less than 15k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024)
Società e cultura6aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNever, or only in 2033 or later 69.2%In testa tra 5 esiti
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7
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variazione 7g
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Aggiornato 21 ore fa
Obsoleto16 feb 25, 18:52 UTC2 feb 33, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Each bucket is two chances to win! All years are inclusive
- Every calendar year Jan - Dec is a measurement point.
- If you think it won't happen, even including 2032, then bet the option for it not happening.
- I've chosen a restricted range so that skeptics have a shorter term option.
