Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeChuck Grassley 74%In testa tra 11 esiti
Previsori
40
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto26 ago 24, 15:23 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the next President of the United States die in office?
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Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegole
Feel free to add anyone who’s in power, or current running for one of the positions listed below.
- Each answer will Resolve YES if the person died in an eligible position of power, and NO if they aren’t in office at the time of their death.
- Eligible seats of power:
- US Congress-person (not state congress)
- State Governor
- President, VP, or Cabinet Member (see full list)
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.0pt61%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-4.0pt38%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 133,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 712,4K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.7pt91%
- Republican Party-0.4pt9%
- Volume totale
- 29,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 687,1K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 194,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 625,7K €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-8.0pt54%
- Nithya Raman+9.0pt46%
- Volume totale
- 28,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 504K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt62.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt28.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.5pt8.2%
+1 altri esiti
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.7pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-1.9pt13%
+48 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀?
- Manifold Markets quota Chuck Grassley al 74% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀?
- Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Feel free to add anyone who’s in power, or current running for one of the positions listed below.