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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. IA
  3. Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?
Manifold Markets

Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?

IATecnologia4a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
xAI 99.1%
In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori

148

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 ore fa

Obsoleto
3 dic 25, 0:543 dic 30, 0:54

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Manifold Markets
Anthropic
0.5%
Manifold Markets
OpenAI
0.4%

Esito scelto

xAI99%

Regole

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves to the company that is the first to be publicly traded.
  • Qualifying Events The following events count as an IPO for the purpose of this market:
  • Traditional IPO
  • Direct Listing
  • Merging with another private company then IPOing together (e.g. xAI and SpaceX)

Mercati Correlati

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

153,5K €
Anthropic: 89%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

16,2K €
Anthropic: 91%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Best Chinese AI Company end of June?

Best Chinese AI Company end of June?

7,6K €
Alibaba: 78%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

6,1K €
By Dec 31, 2025: 74%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2026

2,5K €
≥$1T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

By which date will the state-of-the-art LLM use latent space to reason?

2,3K €
Jan 1, 2027: 18.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$63,539.26+0.02%SolanaSOL$66.75-0.37%EthereumETH$1,665.82-0.86%DogecoinDOGE$0.0877+1.44%BNBBNB$604.18+0.00%XRPXRP$1.13-0.61%

Notizie Correlate

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regole

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves to the company that is the first to be publicly traded.
  • Qualifying Events The following events count as an IPO for the purpose of this market:
  • Traditional IPO
  • Direct Listing
  • Merging with another private company then IPOing together (e.g. xAI and SpaceX)