Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which major social media platforms will implement community notes by 2030? (FIXED)?

Manifold Markets quota Facebook (the timeline, not messenger) al 95.5% al 31 ottobre 2026.

Which major social media platforms will implement community notes by 2030? (FIXED)

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Facebook (the timeline, not messenger) 95.5%

In testa tra 7 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

0.0 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 6 ore fa

Obsoleto

8 gen 25, 12:53 UTC1 gen 30, 21:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

The community notes implementation doesn't need to be called as such, but it must have the core features of community notes or equivalent features:

Notes are shown prominently whenever the post is visible on the platform
Notes can be voted on my regular users, there's no paid moderation team
Notes are shown according to something like Cans consensus algorithm
I won't vote, and might clarify the question if ambiguities arise.
Update 2025-07-01 (PST): - Review Zuck's new video for additional context on community notes implementation.