Which lab will top Epoch AI's Capabilities Index (ECI) on November 30, 2026?
5.6 pt (24h)SportOne-OffScacchiIATecnologia29g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAnthropic 30.6%+5.6ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+5.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto31 ott 26, 14:58 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which lab will have the #1 model on Epoch AI's Capabilities Index (ECI) on November 6, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTop AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?
KalshiWhat will the top score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath: Erdős (68 open Erdős problems) be on November 7, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Which organization's model will have the highest Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) score on Epoch AI's ECI page on November 30, 2026?
- Resolution source: Epoch AI's ECI page (https://epoch.ai/eci) and the ECI scores file inside Epoch's downloadable benchmark data (https://epoch.ai/data/benchmark_data.zip, file epoch_capabilities_index/eci_scores.csv, column eci).
- I will check both on December 1, 2026 (UTC), using the data as published for November 30.
- If they disagree, the CSV wins.
- How it resolves: to the organization (the CSV's Organization column) of the single model with the highest ECI score.
- Any model counts — open or closed, any version — as long as Epoch lists it.