Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Anthropic (99%)
Risolto: 1 lug 2026, 00:05
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Provenienza del regolamento
- Esito vigente
- Anthropic
- Registrato
- 25 lug 2026, 08:31
- Osservazioni
- 1
- Revisioni
- 0
- Metodo
- resolution_watch
Previsione della comunità attualeAnthropic 99%+10.2ptIn testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
39
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 giorni fa
Obsoleto4 feb 26, 19:2130 giu 26, 23:59
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Google4.5%
OpenAI6.3%
xAI0.6%
Anthropic99%
Meta0.5%
Alibaba0.2%
DeepSeek0.3%
Other0.2%
99%
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· Anthropic
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Which company has best AI model end of June?
0.5 ptsChiusi
Risolto
Anthropic (100%)
+0.5pt100%
0%
-0.1pt0%
+16 altri esiti
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoBassa liquidità
Volume totale19,6 Mln €
Volume 24h5,6K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Polymarket
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
0.1 ptsChiusi
Risolto
Anthropic (100%)
+77.0pt100%
-0.6pt0%
-0.1pt0%
+8 altri esiti
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoBassa liquidità
Volume totale1,5 Mln €
Volume 24h5,6K €
POLYMARKETRegole
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of June 30th, 11:59PM ET.
- We'll follow polymarket's tiebreak rule:
- If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-LIC6U8LQ9R
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-0PE9Utg8Qg
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of June 30th, 11:59PM ET.
- We'll follow polymarket's tiebreak rule:
- If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-LIC6U8LQ9R
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-0PE9Utg8Qg