Previsione della comunità attuale
CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens 36.6%In testa tra 16 esiti
Previsori
37
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto24 feb 25, 22:56 UTC31 dic 29, 23:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?
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KalshiNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiRegole
This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.
- This market will resolve to the first governing coalition that forms following the next German federal election.
- The listed order of parties does not matter, so "the named outcome" is equivalent to "SPD + CDU/CSU".
- "CDU/CSU" refers to the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Christian Social Union (CSU) collectively.
- If one of these parties forms a coalition without the other, the market will resolve to the option explicitly listing "CDU" or "CSU" as part of the coalition.
- If no federal election occurs by 2030, or an election is held but no coalition is formed before then, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
