Previsione della comunità attuale
CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens 42%In testa tra 16 esiti
Previsori
36
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto24 feb 25, 22:56 UTC31 dic 29, 23:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
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KalshiWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiRegole
This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.
- This market will resolve to the first governing coalition that forms following the next German federal election.
- The listed order of parties does not matter, so "the named outcome" is equivalent to "SPD + CDU/CSU".
- "CDU/CSU" refers to the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Christian Social Union (CSU) collectively.
- If one of these parties forms a coalition without the other, the market will resolve to the option explicitly listing "CDU" or "CSU" as part of the coalition.
- If no federal election occurs by 2030, or an election is held but no coalition is formed before then, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election??
- Manifold Markets quota CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens al 42% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election??
- Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.