Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeTransfer at a wet market 53.1%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
95
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto17 set 23, 16:16 UTC31 dic 35, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Isaac King's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market resolve?
Manifold MarketsDid COVID-19 come from a laboratory? (2050 Poll)
Manifold MarketsIf AI has an okay outcome because of a new paradigm, where did AI progress stall out?
Manifold MarketsSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
PolymarketIs Cheryl Scott from ABC CHICAGO pregnant????!?!??? 🤰
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves in the same way as @/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory
- Update 2025-21-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on "In the wild":
- Refers to any location not listed in other options.
- Update 2025-05-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator confirmed specific scenarios that would fall under a non-zoonotic origin (which users in the thread associated with a lab origin).
- These scenarios include if the pandemic virus:
- Was created from scratch.
