Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
2026 30.5%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto17 gen 25, 22:57 UTC1 gen 31, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
PolymarketWill Apple release a new product line before 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWhen will Tesla Cybertruck be available in Europe?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiWill Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Perplexity's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on official announcements from Tesla or verifiable reports of the Cybertruck's discontinuation.
- The discontinuation date will be considered the earliest date when:
- Rebrand: The product name is changed to something substantially other than Cybertruck, OR
- Discontinuation: Tesla officially announces the end of Cybertruck production with no plans to restart, OR
- Internal stealth discontinuation: Tesla takes internal steps to permanently wind down production (e.g. permanently stands down factory lines, switches to selling off existing inventory, reassigns all team members, even if they don’t announce publicly), OR
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-1.0pt82.2%
- Yes+1.0pt17.8%
- Volume totale
- 12,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 204,1K €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt43%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-6.0pt35%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-3.0pt31%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Jan 1, 202792%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18,4K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt65%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 202750%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 892,9K €
KALSHIWhich companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Jersey Mike's99%
- Shein98%
- Oura-1.0pt94%
+26 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,2K €
- Clavicular sentenced to prison?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- SB Energy IPO by which date?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by which date?
- Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued??
- Manifold Markets quota 2026 al 31% al 11 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued??
- When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria