Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Before 01/01/2029 39.7%+9.9ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+9.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
7 lug 24, 06:05 UTC10 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will the next UK general election take place?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will the next Ukrainan presidential election take place?
Manifold MarketsWill the next British Genaral election take place before the regular deadline in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRegole
This resolves YES for all options which are true of the polling day for the first UK General Election following 4th July 2024.
- Otherwise options resolve NO three weeks before their named date, at which point it is too late under current UK law to call an election.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will the next UK General Election take place??
- Manifold Markets quota Before 01/01/2029 al 40% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will the next UK General Election take place??
- When will the next UK General Election take place? dovrebbe risolversi il 10 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato When will the next UK General Election take place??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This resolves YES for all options which are true of the polling day for the first UK General Election following 4th July 2024.