Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore 2030 61.1%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
33
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-9.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto30 mar 24, 14:21 UTC1 gen 30, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship fly intercontinental by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Stoke Space fly to space before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegole
The market will resolve positively as soon a live human either successfully launches on a SpaceX Starship to space, or enters a Starship while in space (anywhere more than 100 km from Earth surface).
- It will still count if the Starship fails in some way, as long as it happens after it has reached space.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
- Similar question about launch and landing:
- @/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-or
- My other questions about Starship milestones:
