Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore 2032 92.5%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto5 ago 26, 08:15 UTC31 dic 35, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening?
Manifold MarketsWill Grand Theft Auto 6 make more than $1.2 billion within 24 hours of it's release?
Manifold MarketsIn the 2026 Alaska Senate election, will any of these outlets call the winner within 24 hours of polls closing?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
FutuurSpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028?
FutuurRegole
On the Q2 2026 SpaceX earnings call, Elon said that they aim to launch once per day in 2027, possibly more.
- This market asks a weaker question: when will they launch Starship twice within a 24 hour time period? This can be from different launch sites and with different Starships and different types of Starships.
- Since the launch sites could be in different time zones, local time of the second launch at the second launch site will be used for resolution.
