Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will SpaceX launch 2 starships within 24 hours??

Manifold Markets quota Before 2032 al 92.5% al 27 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve When will SpaceX launch 2 starships within 24 hours??

When will SpaceX launch 2 starships within 24 hours? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2035.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Before 2032 92.5%

In testa tra 10 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

0.0 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 14 ore fa

Obsoleto

5 ago 26, 08:15 UTC31 dic 35, 22:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

On the Q2 2026 SpaceX earnings call, Elon said that they aim to launch once per day in 2027, possibly more.

This market asks a weaker question: when will they launch Starship twice within a 24 hour time period? This can be from different launch sites and with different Starships and different types of Starships.
Since the launch sites could be in different time zones, local time of the second launch at the second launch site will be used for resolution.