Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 05:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeOther 45.3%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto5 nov 25, 21:57 UTC5 nov 26, 21:56 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI again before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.
Manifold MarketsSam Altman still CEO of OpenAI through the end of 2026?
FutuurSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiRegole
Simple renaming: A straightforward renaming of the organization will count as OpenAI.
- Mild restructure with renaming: If the rebranding is accompanied by only a mild restructuring, it almost certainly counts as OpenAI.
- Large restructure: If the organization undergoes a significant restructure that leads to substantial or widespread disagreement about what constitutes "OpenAI," this could cause the market to resolve as NO even if Sam Altman remains CEO.
- Temporary Leave doesn't count.
- Only permanent exit from the CEO position counts.
