Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOct 13 to Oct 19 66.2%+46.2ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto5 ott 26, 10:04 UTC16 nov 26, 07:59 UTC
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When will Reflection AI (the Nvidia-backed lab behind reflection.ai) publicly release the weights of its first open-weight language model?
- Background: On Oct 4, 2026, Axios reported, citing people familiar with the plans, that Reflection is preparing to release its first open-weight model "soon", aimed at competing with the top Chinese open models (DeepSeek, Qwen).
- Reflection has not confirmed a date or a name.
- What counts as a release: the model's weights become downloadable by any member of the public.
- Hosting on Hugging Face (or a similar public host) counts, even behind a standard click-through license.
- It does not count if access is limited to a waitlist, selected partners, or individually approved applicants, if only an API or chat app ships with no weights, or if the release is only an announcement, paper or benchmark.