Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2026 99%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto13 ott 23, 11:39 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0.2%
0.2%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiWill Manifold Markets stop allowing wagers on the death of individual humans by February 28, 2027 (2/28/27)?
Manifold MarketsWill my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiRegole
The close date may be extended and subsequent years broken out of "Other" if the market seems useful.
- Must apply to both Saturday and Sunday - schedule must take effect before the cutoff date and stay in place for a month without significant changes/reversions.
- https://www.panynj.gov/path/en/schedules-maps/saturday-schedules.html
- https://www.panynj.gov/path/en/schedules-maps/sunday-schedules.html
Mercati aperti
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.9pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 659,9K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6444%
- 65-8925%
- <4019%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 23,8K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- Yes-17.0pt68%
- No32%
- Volume totale
- 3,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6K €
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Volume totale
- 18,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 1K €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 15,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 952,8 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- No significant difference+8.0pt39%
- Significant decrease-6.0pt34%
- Significant increase-31.4pt10%
- Volume totale
- 49,8K €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will PATH stop diverting weekend JSQ/33rd St traffic through Hoboken??
- Manifold Markets quota 2026 al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will PATH stop diverting weekend JSQ/33rd St traffic through Hoboken??
- When will PATH stop diverting weekend JSQ/33rd St traffic through Hoboken? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato When will PATH stop diverting weekend JSQ/33rd St traffic through Hoboken??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The close date may be extended and subsequent years broken out of "Other" if the market seems useful.