Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeLater 79.1%+4.1ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
107
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+4.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
9 ott 23, 03:35 UTC1 gen 28, 06:59 UTC
Trend
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
KalshiMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
PolymarketWill Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30?
PredictItWill Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell die in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Mitch McConnell is the senate minority leader and has recently been having potential seizers.
- He is 81 but seems to be adament about not retiring.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
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- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
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- Volume 24h
- 760,7K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
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+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7 Mln €
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Mitch McConnell retire??
- Manifold Markets quota Later al 79% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Mitch McConnell retire??
- When will Mitch McConnell retire? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato When will Mitch McConnell retire??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Mitch McConnell is the senate minority leader and has recently been having potential seizers.